Welcome to ORCHARD, a hedge fund magazine Finances are the sonnets of success

Welcome to ORCHARD, a hedge fund magazine Finances are the sonnets of success
Orchard is committed to be your personal navigator in a rising sea of financial information. It represents a collected edition of the insightful and significant stock market tips for those deeply interested in commercial aspects of life. Whether you’re satisfied with the low-hanging fruit or go after the extremely efficient investing in a hedge fund, you’ll hit the right path or find reasonable motivation thanks to our comprehensive financial ‘pharos’.
Sometimes when things make absolutely no sense,
you try to have the best intentions, and the consequences still get worse and worse.
The only way out is to drop the intentions, and just try to get better consequences.
The Romans knew this much after the Greeks spent a lot of morality on intentions.’
The Romans had no time to go after intentions.
The Romans knew that if the consequences were good, you must have had good intentions.
So you don’t necessarily know your own intentions.
There is a subconscious. Lucas Orchard is the intersection of the mind with the matters of mathematics.
What is mathematics? Something about young men trying to fight each other for careers.
Lucas Orchard is a financial journal but we want you to think for yourself so we give you what you need.
You will find it is more akin to a sport here, how relentless we are at making stuff make sense.
This will orient you well if you seek to go into trading later and rush ahead of our website.
Lucas Orchard

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Limits of Psychology
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Stories drive the Stock Market
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Writing Standards
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Artificial Intelligence, Minimax, and Game Theory
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Theories of Fiction and Proof
The relationships between the world described in fiction often match up to the relationships described in the real world to the point that we can’t just dismiss fiction as inconsequential. However, what is necessary is proof that the relationships described in fiction match up with the world outside before we begin to reference any fiction for lessons. Similar to is not congruent to. Neither does finding an inductive pattern imply...
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Predicting the Future and Overfitting
When we see a bunch of data points, we usually draw a straight line through them in the Ordinary Least Squares method and come to a prediction. We don’t overfit by drawing a polynomial spline through each of the points and then predict. That is because the Ordinary Least Squares approach is statistically motivated. Similarly, when we tell stories to inform each other of information that may predict the future,...
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Black Swans and Belief on Own Terms
There exists a line between independent thinking and believing things on your own terms. If we form a distribution for what may happen in the future, and there is a shock to our distribution upon data collection, we can refuse to update, which shows we are more convinced of our own models than reality. However, the presence of black swans tells us when reality intrudes on a model, we have...
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